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        The development situation of China\'s rubber machinery industry in 2013 is not optimistic


        Macroeconomic aspect: Economists believe that in 2013, the world economy will still be in a post crisis adjustment period, with weak economic growth and weak recovery momentum. Under the stimulus of quantitative easing monetary policy, the economy will recover, with a growth rate of around 3.6%. The Chinese economy is stabilizing, with a further increase in positive factors and an increase in growth momentum, showing a rebound and positive trend. The synergistic effect of consumption, investment, and exports will ensure stable and rapid development of the Chinese economy. It is expected that China's GDP growth rate will be around 8.1% next year.

        Basic support surface: In 2012, the Chinese automotive market showed a slight growth trend, with annual production and sales expected to exceed 19 million vehicles, a year-on-year increase of about 3%. Industrial economic research shows that the development of the automotive industry has its own inherent laws. According to the development laws of the automotive industry, China's automotive industry is currently in a cyclical adjustment recovery stage, with market demand gradually increasing and the growth rate moving from micro growth to low growth.

        Taking into account all aspects of the situation, the Chinese automotive market will rebound in 2013 and enter a low growth trajectory. According to the historical analysis of the automotive market, after high growth, the market will enter a period of stable and rapid development, lasting for about 10 years. In terms of car ownership, the current car ownership per thousand people in China is about 86, and the overall level is still relatively low. In the future, the growth rate of car production and sales will return to over 10%.

        The development of production and operation in the tire industry is closely related to the macroeconomic situation, the development of the automotive industry, and road passenger and freight transportation. With the gradual recovery of the economy, a slight rebound in growth rate, the slow growth of the automotive industry, and the gradual increase in road passenger and freight transportation business, the overall production and operation prospects of the tire industry improved in 2013, but there are still some uncertainties in the development process.

        According to industry experts' predictions, the national tire production in 2013 was about 496 million pieces, a year-on-year increase of 6%. Among them, the production of radial tires is about 445 million, an increase of 8% year-on-year, and the radial rate is 89%.

        Industry development: In 2012, the growth rate of rubber machinery industry declined, and major economic indicators such as industrial added value, total output value, realized profits, product output, and fixed assets investment all showed a downward trend. At the same time, the industry situation became more differentiated and the economic operation became more difficult. The only gratifying thing is that the export of rubber machinery still maintains a growth momentum in foreign exchange earnings.

        Overall, it is necessary to have sufficient ideological preparation for the difficult situation of weak domestic demand in 2013, but there are indeed subjective and objective conditions for a moderate rebound in demand. Therefore, it is not advisable to be overly pessimistic about the domestic demand situation. At the same time, we should actively expand channels and continue to develop foreign markets. Focusing product marketing on foreign countries and obtaining some orders in the market can effectively alleviate the current situation of insufficient orders in the domestic market.

        With the rapid development of rubber machinery in China, there are signs of imbalanced development and insufficient potential. It is necessary to adjust the product structure, research and develop high-end products, and accelerate the pace of industrialization in order to achieve sustainable and healthy development. The rubber industry is promoting a circular economy of "reduction, reuse, and resource utilization", vigorously conserving energy and reducing consumption. Rubber machinery, as an important equipment for the production of rubber products, plays a significant role in energy conservation and consumption reduction in the rubber industry. Rubber enterprises, especially tire enterprises, carry out circular economy, and energy conservation and emission reduction mainly start from the source of equipment use. In the future, "low energy consumption, automation, and high efficiency" will be the first choice for equipment procurement. In the development and improvement of rubber machinery products, we will focus on factors such as improving efficiency, saving energy, and reducing pollution, and develop and promote more energy-saving and environmentally friendly rubber machinery. At the same time, we will strengthen close cooperation with manufacturers of rubber and tire products, organically integrate processes and equipment, transform the existing layout and equipment of rubber and tire enterprises, and achieve the goals of safety, energy conservation, environmental protection, and efficiency.

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